Sunday, May 6, 2012

EUR/USD 1.3080

The Euro's decline against the Dollar from 1.3175 seems to have found support at the 1.3080 after falling around 100 pips in the American session on the back of rumours about Greece leaving the area and next election in the Hellenic country and France.

After supporting at 1.3080, the EUR/USD has been trading in a slight recovery to teach levels close to the 1.3100 zone. Currently the pair is trading at 1.3090, 0.45% below today's opening price action. Pair remains "Strongly Bearish" and "Overbought" according to Technical Studies.

The single currency is being hammered just after the European close on rumours about certain Spanish banks insisting on another round of LTRO (LTRO3) and unconfirmed sources talking about the likeliness of Greece exiting the bloc.


Thursday, May 3, 2012

The market was pricing expectations of a possible lower interest rate today, but the ECB has kept it at 1%, adding that the central bank’s officials didn’t discuss the rate at all today: “Those comments fell short of expectations for more dovish ECB language or indication that the central bank was moving closer to further easing”, wrote Nick Bennenbroek, head of currency strategy at Wells Fargo Bank, pointing to the rebound of the euro, also helping the CHF and NOK.

“ECB President Draghi said the inflation risks were broadly balanced and that risks to the economic outlook were to the downside, while he also said the central bank did not discuss a rate cut at today’s meeting”, Bennenbroek added.

In the US, initial and continuing jobless claims surprised the market with a 27k and 53k drop, respectively, now at a total of 365k and 3.276M. Falling productivity by -0.5% in Q1 (YoY) and rising labor costs by 2% were also revealed today.